Software industry and professional programmers

 In this article, as a conclusion, to express my programmer for the Chinese software industry, and the views of career planning.

general, we believe that this world exists in industry, agriculture and tertiary industry. The tertiary industry, to the service people have the most experience. Then, the software should be regarded as the industry? The traditional view, the software industry is a industry.

In general, the software according to their different end-users, divided into two types: for individual users, to provide various services for personal or entertainment software, as well as for corporate users, mainly for enterprises to improve working productivity, cost reduction software.

Therefore, when we discussed the Chinese software industry, I think it is necessary to produce the two different software industry are discussed.

First of all, the software for business users, I think, in essence, is part lubricant industry. In other words, at this time, only to rely on the software itself, is unable to generate any profit and value, the software must be attached to the body in a traditional industry to be able to reflect their own value. For example, Ye Hao regardless of CRM, ERP or just the DB, OA, and so all the software used in business, operating difficulties if the enterprise itself, the production of motor vehicles could not sell cars, the production could not sell electrical appliances, then the software no matter how good, strong information and then, facing the same difficulties in the software business software companies will not give back profits. Therefore, depending on the condition of traditional business-oriented enterprise software directly determine the size of the market.

because of this, although both in the world or just within China, for business users, the market and the output value of software industry, far more than the software for individual users, but to confined to China's software industry, at least in the short term, for business users of software, I think, and no future.

Yes, I know that software companies today are faced with big service companies, the entire software market, especially in the vanguard of e times the U.S. software market, the vast majority are from the business-oriented software composition. If there is no future for enterprise software, then why, as our example, our predecessor, the United States at the top of the world is the most like?

very simple, because that is America, not China. In my opinion, advanced rules, methods, ideas, concepts, he can be a simple copy, with practical experience, and then to explore and trade-offs. However, for the struggle of the steps, processes, goal setting, must be combined with their actual circumstances.

We know the size of the market, the size of the market demand, directly determine the production scale, cost and future. We can not imagine a 100 long-term market demand, to accommodate the production capacity of more than 10 to 10 of the enterprise can flourish.

business-oriented software, the market is the needs of enterprises for information. The U.S. market for enterprise software is built on the world, accounting for more than 30% of the total world economy (specific figures can not remember, if there is wrong, please correct me) is the basis of economic entities. Meanwhile, based on its well-developed commodity economy, U.S. companies for the information needs to say is the world's strongest. So it has the world's largest software market, has the world's largest, the largest software company for business services.

For us, the community production of the actual products to meet the real needs of business people in the business and determine the overall economic situation, the software industry, this situation can only obey and not the opposite. China is in the overall deflation, and in the foreseeable future, still do not see improvement in the trend of the production of the whole society in a state of the overall production surplus. Moreover, China's commodity economy is still in a very underdeveloped state, enterprise requirements for information is almost negligible. In this case, only a very small number of enterprises, such as a number of competition authorities, some of the specific molecules in good shape, or based on a very special reasons, such as national support for the information industry, the implementation of e-government, only for the information of the demand. The entire software market, small poor.

with this relative, it is the whole country, the sand, what it can do, what technology are proficient, the courage to boastful Shenzhou V is higher than the size of the software company's software in a small poor cut-throat competition on the market.

Therefore, I think, expect to rely on business-oriented software industry, one would expect to achieve the so-called Business-oriented software industry and beyond can not be divorced from the overall economic situation, it is the nature of the lubricant determines the overall economic situation, it can only go forward, with the recession.

enterprise-oriented software development in China is difficult, another reason is that the developed capitalist countries the high cost of human resources, the use of the software is relatively low cost. In China, labor costs very low, with no software, not reflected in the cost of almost any difference, so if not for other reasons (government promotion, enterprise like the novelty), the general Chinese companies rarely take the initiative enthusiasm for using the software.

here to attach a front for an investor to make an idea of my analysis: Assume that a dealer produce 14,600 invoices per year, he hired four people for his processing invoices, dealing with the average per person per day 10, assuming that each wage is 2,000 yuan / month, 96,000 a year salary, that is, if you use software to process invoices, the dealers are willing to pay the cost of not more than 96,000 yuan. That is, assuming that half of the software developed, the development cost per month can not exceed 16,000 yuan, remove the operating costs, the money to hire a few programmers? Software companies do not get much profit? 96,000 yuan, to develop what kind of software, we knew. Do not think that processing invoices is simple, the actual process may be very complicated, people may be difficult, but the software do not want to be a big mistake is hard to say. Are interested, we can find their own examples of the United States for analysis.

and, even if the United States for their own situation, IT industry, growth is bound to slow down, impossible to foresee the rapid development in previous years. Why? The beginning, people thought that information was waving a magic wand, no rational pursuit led to the great development of IT industry. Now, obviously, information is not God.

people when the initial implementation of information technology did have great benefits, for example, vast amounts of data to the hard disk from the file cabinet changes in the database, this is revolutionary, is the qualitative change, regardless of how much to pay high price, can get commensurate returns. However, with the progressive development of information technology, and now, IT in the overall trend is improving, is the basis of the original speed up the pursuit of faster, higher efficiency. This is of course necessary,UGG boots clearance, but the problem is the development of IT technology much faster than people's needs, in many areas, for the more advanced IT technologies to pursue, has become no practical significance. Analogy, the original DOS,cheap UGG boots, programming,UGG boots, often need to optimize procedures, improve the speed of running, but later Windows programming, everyone knows that many parts of the optimization is no longer so important, because with a 1 second or 2 seconds to draw a window, low efficiency of 100%, but for users, almost no significance. From an economic point of view, continued investment in the same area, the marginal benefit decreases, which more later, you invest the same money, get in return is less and less. The same is true of investment in information technology, but, due to a high rate of development of information technology, information industry so that the effect of diminishing marginal benefit far more than other industries.

Therefore, at present, only a quantitative development of information technology, enterprise information technology investment for the proceeds less inevitable because of the same downward trend. Do not be standing in the forefront of the IT giants have confused his eyes, the development of information technology is not simply to dance with their command.

In summary, I think, in the foreseeable future, the future of software development for enterprises is limited.

However, in this one, there is a special case. That is to provide outsourcing services to the international software industry. A lot of people look down on software outsourcing services, that it was only to do hard labor for others, to master the core technologies can not, after all, is being used. These are not wrong. However, China's software industry, the most lacking in the practical not technical, but the capital. Today, technological advances in IT industry, and millions are actually linked to capital investment. Lack of funds, it is impossible develop really advanced technology. The software outsourcing services, is the source of the most reliable, secure, access to capital accumulation means, while also able to exercise and train a large number of professionals.

Therefore, I think, the way out for China's software industry is one of the current large-scale software outsourcing services, the initial accumulation of capital and technical talent, do not do that one day outsourcing to outsourcing, has sufficient funds in, accumulation of technology and talent, when will it be possible to develop its own technology.

In particular, the software outsourcing business in Japan is in the ascendant. For U.S. customers, we have not beat the Indians, but for Japanese customers, the Indians can not compete with us (for a Chinese person can read a few months training, 80% of the Japanese document, the Indians? Forget it) Therefore, with the current trend of the overall output of manufacturing industries in Japan, Japan's software outsourcing business is promising.

Let us look at the individual-oriented software development. A few years ago, to the price, marked by Kingsoft, the software is generally believed that the domestic consumer market has in fact perished. I agree with this assertion. Internet and the rapid development of the free software movement, programming and technology, determined to software companies, small consumer software development is bound to be a less effective thing.

However, consumer software, the software is not for all individuals. I believe that the removal of China's software outsourcing industry, the current second way out is for the individual software development.

As science and technology, social progress and people's desires and requirements are increasing, and this increase is a monotonic increase in the process. Now, with the Internet, modern communications technology, information technology requirements of the individual more and more, and with the technology, will only increase, not become less. And, this information is based on the requirements of almost exponential rate of growth, the extent of its rapid development in no way inferior to the development of computer technology itself. As mentioned above, the market determines the fate of an industry's future and, therefore, personal information services for the very rapid growth in demand this, determine the provision of information services for individuals, is a very promising work.

we just a little history of the past few years, you can find, when an information service to meet the needs of individual users when, whether it is instant messaging services (ICQ, QQ, MSN), or SMS services, etc., the speed of its development will be in a very short period of time to reach a level close to the explosion. Therefore, we do not have the slightest doubt whether this fast growing market, hopes to become the software industry. This delivery of information services for personal software development, it is the real way out for China's software industry.

course, this is not to say anything casually put forward a software to provide information services to make money. Development of the things you do not need in any case no way out. Truly important is the development of software to meet user needs.

So what are user needs? Unfortunately, no one in this world, no book can tell you clearly what users need. Even users themselves, in most cases, also did not know what they need, at least not a clear description of what they need. Instant messaging services, SMS services in the event before, nor is there any specific requirements of the user to this thing. So do not feel as if the user is no demand now, and just have not been discovered.

So, here, and then nothing more than business vision, sense of smell, keen aware of the needs of potential users is more important. I think the current Chinese economic development, people's living standards, brought about by ordinary users of information services for the continued rapid growth in demand,UGG boots cheap, contains numerous opportunities and hope.

how many kinds of ordinary users in the end, what kind of information service? no one knows. The development of the industry almost no restrictions, the only success factor is that if you can find the user before the real needs of people, interesting things, and it provides real-time user.

the needs of users may be difficult to detect, can be complex, but it may be very simple, it is clear windows pierce the layer of paper that everyone understands immediately. Give a mm at the dinner table I put forward views: Why can not SMS services across the country? I was to surprised a moment. This hard? Is not hard, as long as both ends of the telecommunications service provider agreement, you can use the Internet to transfer information between a telecommunications network, the cost of almost no increase. Of course I'm not saying what practical significance of this opinion, because people who need it, after all, a few (or else it will not be disclosed.) I just want to note this example, sometimes, creativity on your side, but you have not thought of it.

the same time, this is a healthy, fair market, not the will, do not run relationship, success depends only on you can not get the user's favor.

, of course, another point to note is that in this day and age, good ideas will soon be imitated by others, so pay attention to their own services, through certain methods and forms for others difficult to imitate . In this regard, many business school textbooks have a special lecture.

In summary, I think the current way of China's software industry is only two: software outsourcing and information services for individuals.

then, let's discuss the future of this career programmers.

Frankly, though, as a programmer, but in front of the Chinese software industry, according to the overall forecast, I think, at present, Chinese programmers can say that this career is basically no future.

If the software industry's rise and fall hinges on the overall economic situation is good or bad, then the future of the individual programmer to direct the software to determine the good or bad business. And unfortunately, now all of China's domestic software companies, are in a state of primitive accumulation of capital. On the one hand, software companies need to accumulate capital through the software development, and seek development, on the other hand, the market situation is grim, can not be developed on such a market, and is absolutely unknown. Two-phase synthesis, the market did not have much money, software companies to make money, then how much residue can also left, to the software industry, the bottom of the programmers to it? Even those famous big companies, though may be more financially well-off , but also because the face do not know what kind of market development can not guarantee return on invested capital will be able to get, so can not devote much money in the programmer.

present, large software companies are concentrated in several major cities. I was in Beijing to Beijing as an example. I believe we all know, Beijing's housing prices high, do not say that the Chinese programmer, is the United States to buy the Heart of the house programmers also need to bite the bullet. Very few software companies have their own employees considered problems of living outside the company, in order to survive the brutal competition in the market down, the programmer will only advance the life and brutal life, unlimited unpaid overtime, work pressure of overweight , only subsistence wages. Programmers are people too, needs its own life, to entertainment, to love, to buy a house, to get married, give birth to a child, alone, the current situation, had a normal life almost impossible task of Chinese programmers the.

So, I think, the only current way we are these.

graduate, just less than 3 years out of school students, you're young, your life there is hope, you are entitled to cast aside my disdain pessimistic, you can continue to bear the days of simple and impoverished . For as long as you have confidence in your company to do our best. Through your efforts, like a monk, like seeding as one work, you and your company may be able to grow up together, then, a good laugh at me again.

all other friends, like me, not very young, the survival of responsibility and pressure is growing. We must consider things other than programming. I think we should aim to only one, that is to find a more stable income enough to support the future of our basic needs, like young men do not ask us to work through an ascetic life.

in front of my analysis with, in fact, our goal has been very clear: from the Chinese software industry, striving for exploitation by foreign capitalists to foreign work; engaged in software outsourcing business; into the software for personal information services development.

foreign work well, everyone knows that foreign capitalists have to eat a relatively fat, and will not talk to us, regardless of Shrimps. If the words in the software outsourcing business, we should note that Japanese companies must participate in direct investment enterprises, do not add people from a company in China, where the situation and there will be no general difference between the companies. So in essence, this choice is actually to foreign companies. The last one, frankly, this is the most promising options, but the highest risk. You have the right to fight for their own dreams, and, if successful, my generation can only be slaves of foreign capitalists, looking up. Here, first I wish you success.

Therefore, I wish to say that, not many low level of domestic software companies in the waste of time, from now on we should set a goal to strive for a top three destination. From now on, everything for their own goals, never again the ordinary software company in the country to waste your youth, was removed from a garbage company to another garbage company. Programmers have the right to pursue their love lives, their lives have purpose, let us fight for their own future!